JULY/DECEMBER 2007
Christmas Day! Everything this year went according to schedule so much so it was eerie.
July 3No hurricanes yet. Pump prices down another few cents: 2.89, 3.09, 3.19 Don't know how much longer they'll go down though; they've been going down for the past 6-7 weeks.
July 272.78, 2.88, 2.98; I've seen 2.69. No hurricanes yet. Our pump prices have stayed down while much of the rest of the country has gone up in price. One refinery flooded in Kansas due to heavy rains and rivers overflowing. Some shortages of gas at gas stations in the upper midwest.
Aug 9Stock market had anothehr week of way up or way down--it's been like that the past two weeks. Down from just about 14,000 to 13,200. Problems with the subprime mortgage markets are moving into the prime mortgage market and making the NBC broadcast news every night this week.

PBS New Hour had a segment on the market this week and their reporter--not the host presenters but reporters--said Wall Street is far too optimistic in thinking the mortgage rollocoaster will straighten out by the end of 2007. they think the "unwinding" will continue.

So, many mortgages sold over and over again to so many different places often means that no one has a clue who holds their own mortgages! Yikes!

Fed had a meeting this week and didn't raise rate from 5.25%.

POLITICS: More wacko moves on the presidential race 2008 as there is another move to make more primaries earliers in the calendar. Talk of the Iowa Caucases having to move to December(!)

Gal Reg Gas: 2.61, 2.71, 2.81 Barrel Crude: 72.15
Sep 8 Barrel Crude: $76.30 Gal Reg Gas: Prices last 2 weeks went down to 2.51 and now back up to 2.61, 2.71, 2.81
Sep 13Barrel Crude: $80.09, over $80.00 barrel Gal Reg: 2.61, 2.71, 2.81
Sep 14Barrel Crude: 79.10Gal Reg Gas: $2.58
Sep 19Barrel Crude: Went over $80.??Gal Reg Gas: 2.61, 2.71, 2.81
Sep 20Barrel Crude: 81.78Gal Reg Gas: 2.63, 2.73, 2.83
Sep 21After a much anticipated meeting, Fed cut short-term and discount rates this week. It was good for the stock market but not so hot for the dollar. It continues downward this week to new lows against some currencies. bernanke, Chairman of the Fed Reserve, said that the subprime mortgage problems have been worse that the most pessimistic outlook forecast. At least, his forecasters. Some others out there expected just what has happened and much worse to come.

More subprime adjustable loans to reset in the next 12-15 months. Other news: Artic summer sea ice has melted this summer to new levels of retreat. Greenland glacier melt has made it to the NBC broadcast news.

Barrel Crude: 81.65 at open

Gal Reg Gas: 2.68, 2.78. 2.98
Sept 27Barrel Crude: $81.88 Gal Reg Gas: 2.66, 2.76, 2.86
Oct 9Barrel Crude: $80.26 Gal Reg Gas: 2.69, 2.79, 2.89
Oct 10 News This Week: Tom Flannery, Australian scientist and author of book "The Weathermakers" (2005), said in an interview this week that the latest IPCC data shows that the earth has already crossed into the area of "dangerous climate change." We passed the 400 CO2 ppm barrier back in mid-2005: that measurement was 455 ppm then. Before this data was available he and others had hoped that we'd have another decade or so efore we crossed that threshold. He's not a member of the IPCC but thee last part of the $th Assessment of the IPCC study is due in November and iti should say something like this.

Artic Summer Ice retreated/melted this summer more than it ever has before. At the rate it's going we'll have ice-free Artic summers by 2015. This is a remarkable increase in melting since 2005 when the shrinking was to 1.5 million sqaure miles. In 2007 the melting was 1 million square miles. The ice-free Artic summer is moved up it's date from mid-century ro the coming decade. 30 year or so move up in global warming effects. How many more global warming effects are going to speed up like this? :(

Oct 11Barrel Crude: closed at $83.08 today. Gold is at a 27 year high, 1980. I remember those days in the early 1980s--Gold was very high and interest rates were like the total opposite of today, 22% or so at their highest.Gal Reg Gas: Same as Oct 10
Oct 19Barrel Crude: $89.47 Gal Reg Gas: 2.77, 2.87, 2.97
Oct 23Barrel Crude: 86.??Gal Reg Gas: Gas stil the same but it must start to increase some soon here.
Oct 24Barrel Crude: $87.10 Gal Reg Gas: still the same so far.
Oct 25Barrel Crude: 90.46 New sanctions aagainst Iran is part of this price rise but hardly all. Gal Reg Gas: Gas still the same but it must start to increase some soon here.
Oct 26Barrel Crude: $91.86 About $10 lower than inflation adjusted high in 1980: from NBC national broadcast news)
Oct 31Barrel Crude: $94.53 Fed lowered rates today. Gal Reg Gas: 2.79, 2.89, 2.99 Filled up tank today.
Nov 1stBarrel Crude: 93.49 Traded over $95.00 for a while today. I have several thoughts I keep meaning to post here but I don't get to it. Gal Reg Gas:Same as Above entry
Nov 2Barrel Crude: $95.93 Gal Reg Gas:
Nov 4 SundayBarrel Crude: market not open today Gal Reg Gas: 2.87, 2.97, 3.07
Nov 5Barrel Crude: Opned at 94.00, closed at 93.98 Gal Reg Gas:
Nov 6Barrel Crude: $96.70 Gal Reg Gas: 2.97, 3.07. 3.17 one station at 2.85, signs say it gets its gas from Sinclair which I think is continental US so maybe that's better on the cost. (?)
Nov 8Barrel Crude: 95.46,High today of 97.70; Heat Oil: 2.61, NatGas: 7.71 Gal Reg Gas: 2.98, 3.08,03.18
Nov 15Barrel Crude: 93.43Gal Reg Gas: 2.99, 3.09, 3.19
Nov 16Barrel Crude: 95.10 Gal Reg Gas: 3.06,3.16,3.26
Nov 20Barrel Crude: 98.03 Gal Reg Gas: 3.03-3.06, 3.16, 3.26
Nov 21Barrel Crude: 97.26 All Time High Adjusted for Inflation from early 1980s is $101.70. Unwinding in stock market and economy continues; big losses/writedowns for large financial institutions. More still to come though. More commentators thinking that a downturn is still coming and how deep will it get? Some say that housing will hit bottom sometime latter half of 2008.

Dow got hammered at the close finishing at 12,797; 12,850 was the low in August 2007 fall and swoon.

Gal Reg Gas: Same as on Nov 20th
Nov 23Barrel Crude: 98.18 Gal Reg Gas: NO change
Nov 26Barrel Crude: 97.70 Dow: 12,743.43Gal Reg Gas: No change
Nov 30Barrel Crude: 88.71 Dow: 13,371.72

Gentlemen who handles my mom's investment money apologized for the way her funds have acted the past 45 days! I don't know enough to know how many may be related to any of the mortgage problems. I know he said 6 months ago he would take the closed end funds backed by mortages securities out of her portfolio and got into more energy backed funds. I don't know enough to suggest what should be done except for that suggestion he made then. She is 86 and even with dementia is doing pretty well physically so we have to make the money last as long aspossible. Of course, with someone that age you never know.

Gal Reg Gas: No change
Dec 7Barrel Crude: 88.28 dow back above 13,000

Plan to bail out some homeowners who are in over their head with their mortgages--this could be anyone since 2003 basically but this help out is people in the past 2 years who got mortages. fund is not from government but from large banks with the most to lose--Citigroup is one, i think B of A is another. Wells Fargo, Chase, Wamu, Wachovia all have their big problems with write-offs these days. More and more predictions of we have no idea what's really going to happen in this economic situation since no one has ever seen it before. Some predict the mother of all recessions (what we've known since Second World War in the US) or depression depending on far down the road you look. Most think all the Powers that Be in the US will do their best to keep things going until after the 2008 election so big problems may not happen until 2009 or after. we'll see.

Gal Reg Gas: No change; surprised it's stayed the same this long.
Dec 25
Dec 26Barrel Crude: $95.47 Gal Reg Gas: 2.97 or 2.99, 3.03, 3.13
Dec 27Barrel Crude: $96.62 Oil has gone up and down between some high $80.00 and mid-$90.00 a barrel the past couple of weeks.

The financial markets have remained pretty much in the same areas they've been. There has been more bad news about bank losses, more bad real estate market news and more effects on the rest of the economy.

The European Central Bank put an enormous sum into it's markets mid-week before Christmas. Our Fed keeps making more money available for the banks but the banks aren't responding by loaning to each other; keeping hold of money so they don't go under is what many commentators are saying. No one has much good to say and I don't say that just because I read "doom" stuff. Of course, the National Association of Real Estate Agents is "upbeat" but they always are anyway. Parts of the country have enough housing inventory to last 2-3 years whether residential property is for sale or a rental.

Atlanta and other SouthEastern cities/communities waiting to see what happens when their water runs out in another month or so. Oh, yes, Benazir Bhutto, female Pakistani politician was assassinated today. They're supposed to have an election in Pakistan in January and she was in it but who knows if they'll have it now. A good reason for our government to put more troops in Pakistan, I imagine.

Gal Reg Gas: 2.97 or 2.99, 3.03, 3.13